Knocked Off The Right Cause

(This piece originally appeared on Russia Beyond the Headlines)

There is almost nothing money can’t buy in today’s Russia. The abundance of material goods – ordinary and luxurious, domestic and imported – is a given. And when it comes to things spiritual, people of means can always buy their way into politics. The wealthiest can even purchase a political party and play an exciting game of "Duma elections." What money can’t buy, however, is the ability to establish the rules by which the game of Russian politics is played. This function rests exclusively with the Kremlin.

Billionaire Mikhail Prokhorov learned this lesson the hard way. Last week, the congress of the Right Cause party, which Prokhorov has led for the past three months, rebelled and stripped him of the leadership position. Faced with the mutiny, Prokhorov chose not to fight; instead, he quit the party and promised to his supporters to start a new one. In a completely unprecedented move, Prokhorov publicly accused the deputy chief of the presidential administration, Vladislav Surkov, in inspiring and orchestrating the intraparty putsch. Prokhorov called Surkov “the puppet master” of Russian politics and vowed to force his resignation.

The Kremlin’s selection of Prokhorov to lead the moribund Right Cause party back in May was driven by a desire to have a “liberal” party in the next Duma, which will be formed after the elections scheduled for Dec. 4. Prokhorov’s candidacy as party leader looked attractive for two reasons. First, he had a raw charisma and undeniable media appeal. Second, and more importantly, being one of Russia's wealthiest men, Prokhorov was willing to assume the burden of the election campaign expenses, thus allowing the Kremlin to pursue its liberal-party-in-the-Duma project essentially for free. Naturally, certain agreements were made between the two parties. The Kremlin, having promised to Prokhorov a Duma seat at least for himself, wanted him to behave. For his part, Prokhorov, having promised not to explicitly criticize the tandem and the United Russia party, was apparently left with the impression that his wealth gave him more wiggle room than allowed to any other Russian politician.

Looking backwards, it’s now obvious that both sides miscalculated. The Kremlin didn’t anticipate how many mistakes the bold, energetic, but completely unschooled in political games Prokhorov could make in a short time. The Right Cause’s election platform, released in haste, was a joke; his claim at becoming the next prime minister of Russia (a position that, incidentally, is not vacant at the moment), while smacking good PR, went overboard; and his dictatorial leadership style – blatantly unfitting the supposedly “liberal” party he was trying to build – rapidly alienated the top party brass and the regional leaders, thus creating the fertile ground for the September coup d’état. For his part, Prokhorov’s biggest mistake was his inability to imagine just how little real decision making power he would enjoy as the leader of a political party, especially when compared to his prior life as a big corporate boss.

The formal reason for the clash between Prokhorov and Surkov was Prokhorov’s intent to include Yevgeny Roizman, the leader of “The City without Drugs” fund, on Right Cause’s candidate list for the upcoming Duma election. Following the presidential administration’s established policy to keep people with the criminal past from the Duma, Surkov demanded the removal of Roizman, a man with a prior criminal conviction. “Either him or you,” he reportedly told Prokhorov. Prokhorov refused, arguing that he couldn’t break public promise to Roizman. That sealed Prokhorov’s fate.

It’s hard to believe, though, that the “Roizman problem” couldn’t have been solved differently. For example, Surkov could have simply pressed the delegates of the party congress to vote down Roizman’s candidacy, something that even Prokhorov would have been unable to overrule. Surkov’s unwillingness to look for a compromise reflected the widely held opinion that President Dmitry Medvedev, initially very supportive of Prokhorov, have become disillusioned with him. Medvedev’s decision to terminate the “Prokhorov project” might have been part of a deal he struck with the leadership of United Russia, a deal that may pave way to his second presidential term.

It’s difficult to feel sorry for Prokhorov: he has enough pricy toys to keep him busy for the rest of his life. Yet, it’s deeply troubling that Russian voters holding liberal views will be unable – again -- to have a representation in the Duma.

A few years ago, the Speaker of the Duma Boris Gryzlov famously gaffed that the parliament was not “a place for discussion.” It still isn’t, given that the concentration of political power in the hands of the executive branch has reached extreme levels. The question that the “Prokhorov affair” brings to focus is: does Russia have a public place at all in which to discuss, in a constructive and civilized way, the problems facing the country?

And then there is another: if even money can’t buy you a way into politics, then what can?

Comments

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[Michael Averko]

On Prokhorov:

http://russiaprofile.org/experts_panel/45917.html

A number of propped experts thought differently on this sudden announcement:

http://rt.com/news/putin-president-medvedev-election-295/

The nay sayers will say it's a stagnant reshuffling done for appearance sake. On the other hand, the above RT link leads one to suggest that Medvedev will have the opportunity to continue his path with an influential backer serving as a kind of political insurance. From Medvedev's standpoint, the necessity for going along with this route might pertain to the notion that his power base is still in a development phase, which might not feel secure enough among the VIPs and population at large.

[Eugene]

Thanks Mike,

Sorry for the late response: I was actually writing a piece on the Decision 2012. If the RBTH publishes it tomorrow, I'll repost it here on Tuesday.

Best,
Eugene

[Michael Averko]

You're welcome Eugene.

Look forward to your take.

So far, I see an instance where the overview of the commentariat is arguably subject to greater legitimate criticism than the decision of "Putvedev".

Find it ironic how some in the establishment media talk of "stagnation" and the need for change.

[Belstaff Coats Outlets]

Very, very nicely done!